Excelsior vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
44.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
HER
2 - 2
EXC
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
EXC
0 - 1
FEY
16%
22%
63%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
WIL
1 - 2
EXC
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
ADO
1 - 0
EXC
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
EXC
2 - 1
RKC
71%
17%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 2
AZA
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
RJC
1 - 3
VIT
23%
26%
52%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
VIT
4 - 1
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
FEY
1 - 1
VIT
63%
20%
18%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
REA
2 - 3
VIT
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |