Excelsior vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
47.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 3
EXC
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 3
UTR
23%
25%
52%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ZWO
1 - 1
EXC
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
AJA
13%
23%
64%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
EXC
4 - 1
SCH
20%
23%
57%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
4 - 2
SCH
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
HER
0 - 1
VIT
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 1
NEC
60%
23%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
PSV
1 - 0
VIT
67%
20%
14%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
VIT
5 - 0
SPA
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |