Excelsior vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
AJA
4 - 0
EXC
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
EXC
0 - 0
WIL
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
NEC
0 - 1
EXC
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SPA
0 - 1
EXC
60%
22%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 1
GRA
38%
24%
38%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2008 |
VIT
1 - 3
VVV
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
VIT
1 - 1
RJC
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
FEY
1 - 0
VIT
71%
18%
11%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
VIT
2 - 1
GRO
35%
26%
40%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
SCH
7 - 0
VIT
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |