Excelsior vs SC Telstar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
FCD
1 - 3
EXC
17%
21%
62%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
EXC
4 - 6
ALM
60%
20%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
PSV
1 - 6
EXC
29%
25%
47%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
EXC
2 - 1
HEL
86%
10%
4%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
OSS
0 - 2
EXC
19%
19%
61%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SC Telstar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
TEL
1 - 2
MVV
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
EIN
2 - 3
TEL
42%
26%
33%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
TEL
2 - 2
VOL
32%
25%
42%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
HER
4 - 0
TEL
73%
16%
11%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2020 |
TEL
0 - 0
SPA
26%
22%
52%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |