Excelsior vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
EXC
0 - 3
WIL
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
EXC
0 - 3
NAC
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 1
EXC
27%
24%
50%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
EXC
0 - 0
NEC
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
SCH
2 - 0
EXC
50%
23%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2002 |
SPA
2 - 4
FCO
65%
19%
16%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
BOS
2 - 1
SPA
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2002 |
SPA
2 - 4
BVO
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2002 |
VVV
2 - 4
SPA
39%
25%
37%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
SPA
2 - 3
HER
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |