Excelsior vs RBC Roosendaal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 2
RJC
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
NAC
2 - 1
EXC
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
UTR
2 - 2
EXC
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
EXC
4 - 2
JON
77%
14%
9%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
EXC
0 - 2
AJA
27%
25%
49%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
RBC Roosendaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2003 |
RBC
0 - 1
UTR
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
RBC
1 - 0
GRA
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2003 |
PSV
3 - 0
RBC
74%
16%
10%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2002 |
TWE
3 - 0
RBC
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2002 |
NEC
3 - 0
RBC
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |