Excelsior vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
64.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 1
EXC
14%
20%
66%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 1
EXC
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 1
HER
34%
26%
41%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FEY
4 - 1
EXC
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 2
ADO
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
PSV
4 - 0
RJC
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PSV
0 - 1
FEY
49%
24%
27%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
PSV
0 - 1
ATM
25%
28%
47%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NEC
0 - 4
PSV
19%
21%
61%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
PSV
0 - 0
GRO
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |