Excelsior vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
56.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
NEC
2 - 2
EXC
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
EXC
3 - 1
ZWO
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
TWE
2 - 1
EXC
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1980 |
EXC
1 - 1
RJC
41%
28%
32%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
FEY
0 - 4
EXC
82%
13%
6%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
PSV
1 - 0
SPA
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
ADO
2 - 3
PSV
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1980 |
PSV
2 - 0
MVV
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1980 |
PSV
3 - 0
WIL
78%
14%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1980 |
NEC
2 - 0
PSV
15%
24%
61%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |