Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
43.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 3
JON
33%
23%
45%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
MVV
0 - 0
EXC
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
EXC
3 - 2
FCD
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
BVO
4 - 0
EXC
46%
24%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
EXC
5 - 2
PSV
49%
24%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
NEC
2 - 0
MVV
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
ALK
0 - 2
NEC
22%
23%
55%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
NEC
1 - 0
PSV
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
NEC
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
NEC
3 - 3
GAE
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |