Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
GAE
2 - 0
EXC
26%
24%
50%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
ADO
2 - 2
EXC
42%
26%
31%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 2
VIT
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
GRO
2 - 1
EXC
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
TWE
4 - 1
EXC
59%
24%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
TWE
3 - 1
NEC
64%
21%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2006 |
NEC
1 - 2
WIL
52%
26%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
TWE
4 - 0
NEC
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
NEC
0 - 0
RJC
35%
27%
39%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
NEC
1 - 0
VIT
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |