Eerste Divisie Normal Season Round 38

Excelsior vs NAC Breda analysis

Excelsior NAC Breda
66 ELO 72
22.5% Tilt 22.7%
560º General ELO ranking 745º
17º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
35.6%
Excelsior
24.8%
Draw
39.6%
NAC Breda

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
Excelsior
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
39.6%
Win probability
NAC Breda
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Excelsior
+8%
-8%
NAC Breda

ELO progression

Excelsior
NAC Breda
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Excelsior
Excelsior
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2022
VVV
VVV Venlo
2 - 2
Excelsior
EXC
26%
24%
50%
66 58 8 0
22 Apr. 2022
EXC
Excelsior
3 - 3
Jong AZ
ALK
73%
17%
10%
66 54 12 0
15 Apr. 2022
MVV
MVV Maastricht
1 - 1
Excelsior
EXC
13%
19%
68%
66 50 16 0
08 Apr. 2022
EXC
Excelsior
1 - 4
SC Telstar
TEL
76%
16%
8%
67 54 13 -1
01 Apr. 2022
ALM
Almere City
3 - 0
Excelsior
EXC
24%
24%
52%
68 61 7 -1

Matches

NAC Breda
NAC Breda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2022
NAC
NAC Breda
3 - 0
TOP Oss
FCO
64%
23%
13%
71 58 13 0
22 Apr. 2022
NAC
NAC Breda
1 - 2
Dordrecht
FCD
72%
19%
9%
72 49 23 -1
16 Apr. 2022
ALM
Almere City
1 - 2
NAC Breda
NAC
23%
25%
53%
71 62 9 +1
08 Apr. 2022
NAC
NAC Breda
3 - 1
VVV Venlo
VVV
55%
25%
20%
71 59 12 0
04 Apr. 2022
JUT
Jong Utrecht
1 - 0
NAC Breda
NAC
9%
18%
72%
71 49 22 0