Excelsior vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
47.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
RJC
7 - 0
EXC
72%
18%
11%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 5
SCH
19%
22%
59%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 0
AZA
16%
23%
61%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
AJA
4 - 1
EXC
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
EXC
1 - 1
ADO
30%
25%
46%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
AZA
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
PSV
1 - 0
NAC
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ADO
3 - 0
NAC
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 2
SCH
33%
25%
42%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
AJA
2 - 2
NAC
78%
15%
8%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |