Excelsior vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2004 |
BVO
1 - 0
EXC
20%
23%
57%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
EXC
1 - 2
FCO
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2004 |
VOL
2 - 0
EXC
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
FCD
1 - 1
EXC
34%
24%
42%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
EXC
2 - 0
HFC
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
HEL
3 - 0
MVV
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2004 |
MVV
0 - 1
GAE
24%
23%
54%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
APE
2 - 1
MVV
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
MVV
0 - 0
TEL
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
HER
5 - 1
MVV
79%
14%
6%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |