Excelsior vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
8.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
HER
1 - 2
EXC
23%
23%
54%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
TEL
1 - 3
EXC
29%
24%
47%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2001 |
EXC
5 - 1
HFC
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
BVO
1 - 5
EXC
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
ZWO
2 - 1
EXC
61%
20%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2001 |
MVV
2 - 2
EIN
43%
25%
33%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
FCO
3 - 1
MVV
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2001 |
MVV
1 - 3
ZWO
19%
21%
60%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2001 |
MVV
5 - 1
HER
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
HEL
3 - 1
MVV
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |