Excelsior vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
52%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1996 |
EXC
0 - 5
HFC
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1996 |
HER
2 - 2
EXC
63%
20%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
EXC
1 - 2
HEL
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
FCO
4 - 1
EXC
60%
22%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1996 |
EIN
1 - 0
EXC
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1996 |
VVV
2 - 0
MVV
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1996 |
MVV
2 - 1
TEL
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
RBC
1 - 2
MVV
44%
25%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
MVV
1 - 1
ZWO
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1996 |
MVV
1 - 3
FCE
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |