Excelsior vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
32.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1972 |
SPA
0 - 1
EXC
85%
11%
5%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 3
UTR
28%
28%
44%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1972 |
EXC
2 - 4
UTR
30%
29%
42%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
FEY
1 - 1
EXC
92%
6%
2%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
EXC
1 - 1
MVV
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1972 |
MVV
4 - 1
ADO
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1972 |
BOS
1 - 0
MVV
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1972 |
NAC
2 - 1
MVV
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
MVV
2 - 2
GRO
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
EXC
1 - 1
MVV
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |