Excelsior vs Jong Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 0
GAE
25%
23%
52%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
EIN
1 - 3
EXC
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
BOS
3 - 2
EXC
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 1
ALM
54%
23%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 1
JON
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
JON
1 - 1
VVV
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
VOL
4 - 2
JON
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
JON
2 - 0
FCD
27%
27%
47%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
JON
0 - 0
HEL
22%
25%
53%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
PSV
2 - 1
JON
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |