Excelsior vs Jong Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
EXC
0 - 2
AJA
27%
25%
49%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2002 |
VIT
1 - 2
EXC
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2002 |
EXC
2 - 2
TWE
49%
24%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2002 |
RBC
1 - 1
EXC
43%
24%
34%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2002 |
EXC
4 - 2
SPA
69%
17%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
JON
2 - 1
WIL
26%
24%
50%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2002 |
JON
2 - 3
UTR
21%
23%
56%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2002 |
JON
3 - 0
TEL
45%
24%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
JON
2 - 1
TWE
17%
22%
61%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2001 |
JON
2 - 0
GRA
33%
25%
43%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |