Excelsior vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SCH
2 - 0
EXC
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
EXC
3 - 2
GAE
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
EXC
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
TEL
0 - 1
EXC
23%
23%
55%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 0
FCO
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
HER
0 - 1
BVO
40%
26%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
GRO
3 - 1
HER
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
HER
0 - 3
AZA
30%
26%
45%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
HER
1 - 2
KON
50%
24%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
HER
3 - 2
GRA
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |