Excelsior vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
AZA
1 - 1
EXC
70%
20%
11%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
EXC
4 - 2
NEC
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
EXC
3 - 2
FEY
24%
24%
51%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
GRA
3 - 0
EXC
61%
22%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2010 |
GAE
3 - 0
EXC
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
RJC
4 - 2
HER
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
HER
1 - 1
FEY
27%
25%
48%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
VVV
1 - 0
HER
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
HER
3 - 0
WIL
71%
19%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2010 |
HER
3 - 0
HIB
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |