Excelsior vs Helmond Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
59.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 2
BVO
16%
22%
62%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 1
EXC
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 3
VOL
22%
24%
54%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
FCO
2 - 0
EXC
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
4 - 2
EXC
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Helmond Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
FCO
1 - 2
HEL
24%
24%
52%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
HEL
1 - 1
SPA
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
VOL
3 - 0
HEL
47%
24%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
BOS
1 - 2
HEL
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
HEL
2 - 1
EIN
76%
16%
9%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |