Excelsior vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
FCD
1 - 1
EXC
8%
16%
77%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 4
GRO
40%
23%
37%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 1
MVV
72%
18%
11%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
ALK
0 - 2
EXC
18%
21%
62%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 1
JUT
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 2
VVV
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2021 |
JUT
0 - 2
GRA
13%
19%
68%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
GRA
0 - 1
HEL
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
PSV
2 - 3
GRA
19%
22%
59%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
GRA
1 - 3
JON
49%
24%
28%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |