Excelsior vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
TWE
1 - 0
EXC
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 0
SCH
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
GRO
1 - 0
EXC
48%
24%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 0
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 1
ZWO
54%
22%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
GRA
1 - 6
PSV
13%
19%
68%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
WIL
3 - 0
GRA
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
TWE
3 - 0
GRA
60%
23%
16%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
GRA
3 - 4
FEY
15%
20%
65%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
AZA
3 - 1
GRA
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |