Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
25.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
SPA
2 - 2
EXC
82%
12%
6%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1986 |
PSV
7 - 0
EXC
84%
11%
5%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
EXC
1 - 2
VVV
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
EXC
0 - 2
ADO
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1986 |
HFC
0 - 1
EXC
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
GAE
2 - 0
ADO
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
RJC
4 - 0
GAE
71%
17%
12%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1986 |
GAE
1 - 0
GRO
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
TWE
1 - 1
GAE
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
BOS
0 - 1
GAE
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |