Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
HEL
1 - 4
EXC
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
EXC
2 - 3
FEY
14%
22%
64%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1981 |
SPA
5 - 2
EXC
78%
15%
8%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
PSV
4 - 1
EXC
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
EXC
1 - 2
NAC
53%
24%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
FOR
1 - 0
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
HFC
0 - 0
FOR
64%
21%
16%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
GAE
2 - 0
FOR
81%
12%
7%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +5 |
| 26 May. 1969 |
FOR
0 - 0
GRO
43%
29%
28%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
ADO
4 - 0
FOR
82%
11%
7%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |