Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 1
RJC
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
GAE
3 - 0
EXC
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 3
PSV
16%
20%
65%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 1
EXC
14%
20%
66%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 1
EXC
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TWE
2 - 2
ZWO
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
ZWO
1 - 2
BVO
64%
20%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
ZWO
2 - 1
ADO
46%
25%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
AJA
5 - 1
ZWO
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
DVS
1 - 4
ZWO
14%
19%
68%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |