Excelsior vs FC Volendam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
54.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
FCO
2 - 0
EXC
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
4 - 2
EXC
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 1
BOS
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
GAE
4 - 1
EXC
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
EXC
5 - 0
ALM
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FC Volendam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
VOL
3 - 0
HEL
47%
24%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
FCE
0 - 2
VOL
22%
24%
54%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
EIN
0 - 2
VOL
26%
24%
51%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
VOL
3 - 2
FOR
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
GRA
0 - 2
VOL
51%
23%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |