Eredivisie Round 19

Excelsior vs Utrecht analysis

Excelsior Utrecht
71 ELO 82
14.2% Tilt 17.5%
616º General ELO ranking 110º
18º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
22.5%
Excelsior
23.7%
Draw
53.8%
Utrecht

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
Excelsior
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
53.8%
Win probability
Utrecht
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Excelsior
+5%
-2%
Utrecht

Points and table prediction

Excelsior
Their league position
Utrecht
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
16º
16º
50
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
PSV
91
91
100%
Feyenoord
84
84
100%
Twente
69
69
100%
AZ Alkmaar
65
65
100%
Ajax
56
56
100%
NEC Nijmegen
53
53
100%
Utrecht
50
50
100%
Sparta Rotterdam
49
49
100%
Go Ahead Eagles
46
46
100%
Fortuna Sittard
10º
38
38
10º
100%
Heerenveen
11º
37
37
11º
100%
PEC Zwolle
12º
36
36
12º
100%
Almere City
13º
34
34
13º
100%
Heracles
14º
33
33
14º
100%
RKC Waalwijk
15º
29
29
15º
0%
Excelsior
16º
29
29
16º
0%
Vitesse
18º
6
24
17º
100%
FC Volendam
17º
19
19
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Excelsior
Utrecht
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Europa League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Excelsior
Utrecht
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Excelsior
Excelsior
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jan. 2024
EXC
Excelsior
3 - 0
Heerenveen
SCH
31%
25%
44%
69 77 8 0
16 Jan. 2024
EXC
Excelsior
0 - 2
Groningen
GRO
44%
23%
33%
70 71 1 -1
13 Jan. 2024
PSV
PSV
3 - 1
Excelsior
EXC
75%
15%
10%
70 89 19 0
19 Dec. 2023
SPA
Spakenburg
2 - 3
Excelsior
EXC
23%
21%
56%
70 61 9 0
16 Dec. 2023
EXC
Excelsior
1 - 1
Go Ahead Eagles
GAE
32%
26%
42%
70 78 8 0

Matches

Utrecht
Utrecht
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2024
UTR
Utrecht
1 - 1
PSV
PSV
22%
22%
56%
82 89 7 0
14 Jan. 2024
VIT
Vitesse
0 - 0
Utrecht
UTR
30%
26%
45%
81 78 3 +1
07 Jan. 2024
UTR
Utrecht
4 - 4
SK Beveren
WAA
45%
24%
31%
81 80 1 0
20 Dec. 2023
FEY
Feyenoord
2 - 1
Utrecht
UTR
70%
18%
13%
82 89 7 -1
16 Dec. 2023
UTR
Utrecht
1 - 1
RKC Waalwijk
RKC
61%
22%
17%
82 71 11 0