Excelsior vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
14.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
27.6%
58.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
20.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
29%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1976 |
TWE
4 - 0
EXC
85%
11%
4%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
EXC
1 - 1
AMS
33%
30%
38%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
UTR
2 - 1
EXC
79%
15%
6%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
EXC
0 - 1
ADO
32%
31%
37%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
EXC
0 - 2
NAC
50%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1976 |
TWE
4 - 0
EXC
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
TWE
5 - 0
MVV
76%
16%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
NEC
0 - 0
TWE
26%
29%
45%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
TWE
2 - 2
AZA
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
GRA
1 - 1
TWE
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |