Excelsior vs TOP Oss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
VOL
3 - 1
EXC
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 6
GAE
30%
26%
45%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
FCD
3 - 3
EXC
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 2
HEL
24%
24%
52%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MVV
4 - 2
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
TOP Oss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
FCO
1 - 0
TEL
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 1
FCO
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2012 |
FCO
0 - 3
FOR
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
EIN
4 - 1
FCO
70%
18%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 1
FCO
27%
22%
52%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |