Excelsior vs FC Eindhoven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
NEC
3 - 2
EXC
52%
24%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 3
NAC
43%
24%
33%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
EXC
0 - 1
BVO
25%
23%
53%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
EXC
2 - 0
ZWO
38%
23%
39%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
JUT
3 - 2
EXC
28%
24%
48%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Eindhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 0
EIN
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
EIN
2 - 5
BVO
14%
20%
66%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
BOS
1 - 1
EIN
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
EIN
4 - 0
MVV
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
JON
1 - 1
EIN
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |