Excelsior vs FC Eindhoven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 1
GAE
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2006 |
APE
1 - 1
EXC
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
BOS
0 - 1
EXC
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2006 |
BVV
2 - 1
EXC
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2006 |
EXC
0 - 1
FCD
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
FC Eindhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
EIN
1 - 3
VVV
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2006 |
TEL
0 - 1
EIN
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
EIN
2 - 1
GAE
54%
23%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2006 |
EIN
2 - 1
BOS
31%
24%
45%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2006 |
APE
1 - 4
EIN
63%
20%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +2 |