Excelsior vs FC Eindhoven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1999 |
RBC
3 - 3
EXC
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
FCD
2 - 4
EXC
48%
24%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1999 |
HFC
1 - 0
EXC
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
EXC
3 - 0
HEL
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
EXC
4 - 0
VOL
54%
22%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FC Eindhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1999 |
EIN
2 - 1
HEL
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1999 |
HFC
4 - 5
EIN
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
EIN
1 - 0
VOL
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1999 |
GRO
3 - 0
EIN
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1999 |
EIN
0 - 2
GAE
49%
23%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |