Excelsior vs Dordrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
BOS
0 - 5
EXC
32%
24%
44%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
JON
1 - 2
EXC
40%
24%
36%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
EXC
1 - 1
VOL
36%
25%
40%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
RJC
1 - 2
EXC
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 1
FCO
64%
21%
16%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
FCD
0 - 1
VVV
14%
19%
67%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FCO
3 - 0
FCD
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
FCD
2 - 2
JUT
35%
23%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
JON
1 - 2
FCD
75%
15%
9%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
FCD
1 - 1
PSV
18%
20%
62%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |