Excelsior vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
73.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 4
GRO
36%
25%
39%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
GRA
4 - 1
EXC
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 0
VIT
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ZWO
2 - 0
EXC
48%
24%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 0
VVV
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +3 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
SLB
1 - 1
AJA
37%
24%
39%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
AJA
2 - 0
WIL
78%
15%
8%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 0
GAE
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
AJA
3 - 0
FEY
55%
22%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
AJA
1 - 0
SLB
49%
24%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |