Excelsior vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
58.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ZWO
3 - 0
EXC
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
EXC
3 - 0
GRA
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
GRO
2 - 0
EXC
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 2
AZA
25%
24%
52%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 0
EXC
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 2
CEL
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TWE
2 - 2
AJA
28%
25%
48%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
AJA
4 - 0
ADO
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
JAB
0 - 0
AJA
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
NEC
0 - 2
AJA
27%
24%
50%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |