Excelsior vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
66.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ADO
1 - 1
EXC
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
AZA
2 - 0
EXC
79%
15%
6%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 1
VVV
54%
23%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
HER
3 - 0
EXC
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 0
NAC
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
MUD
1 - 2
AJA
74%
16%
11%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
AJA
4 - 1
NEC
78%
14%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
AJA
0 - 2
MUD
24%
24%
52%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 2
AJA
12%
19%
69%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AJA
0 - 2
UTR
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |