Excelsior vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
62.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1983 |
EXC
0 - 2
AZA
23%
25%
52%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1983 |
GAE
4 - 1
EXC
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
GRO
0 - 2
EXC
77%
15%
9%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1983 |
EXC
0 - 0
HFC
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1983 |
FEY
4 - 0
EXC
81%
12%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
AJA
4 - 0
SPA
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1983 |
FCD
1 - 2
AJA
7%
13%
80%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
AJA
5 - 2
RJC
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1983 |
PSV
1 - 0
AJA
48%
23%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1983 |
AJA
2 - 1
AZA
76%
14%
11%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |