Excelsior Virton vs Lommel SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
54.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 0
MOU
22%
26%
53%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
RWD
3 - 0
EXC
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 0
KVC
10%
20%
71%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
WAA
3 - 1
EXC
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 2
DEI
19%
24%
57%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lommel SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
LOM
2 - 1
KVC
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
WAA
1 - 1
LOM
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
LOM
0 - 0
RWD
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
KSK
0 - 2
LOM
25%
25%
50%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
LOM
0 - 0
MOU
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |