Excelsior Virton vs Dessel Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
EEA
2 - 1
EXC
47%
24%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 3
KNO
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
EXC
3 - 0
BER
49%
24%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
LOM
6 - 0
EXC
69%
19%
12%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 0
PAT
79%
14%
8%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Dessel Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
DES
1 - 1
SPO
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
LOM
1 - 0
DES
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
DES
1 - 0
DEN
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BER
3 - 2
DES
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
DES
1 - 0
OOS
70%
18%
13%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |