Excelsior Mouscron vs Mons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
EXC
0 - 1
BRU
26%
24%
51%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
EXC
5 - 0
LIE
57%
22%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 3
KSK
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
STR
3 - 6
EXC
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
KSV
5 - 0
EXC
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
MON
1 - 2
VWH
61%
22%
18%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
RON
2 - 0
MON
28%
28%
44%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
OOS
1 - 1
MON
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
MON
1 - 0
LOU
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
MON
2 - 1
KFC
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |