Belgian Pro League Round 28

Excelsior Mouscron vs Lierse SK analysis

Excelsior Mouscron Lierse SK
79 ELO 77
7.1% Tilt 9%
19599º General ELO ranking 19703º
375º Country ELO ranking 379º
ELO win probability
56.6%
Excelsior Mouscron
22.2%
Draw
21.2%
Lierse SK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
Excelsior Mouscron
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.2%
Win probability
Lierse SK
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Excelsior Mouscron
Lierse SK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Excelsior Mouscron
Excelsior Mouscron
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2001
AND
Anderlecht
3 - 3
Excelsior Mouscron
EXC
70%
17%
13%
80 88 8 0
17 Mar. 2001
EXC
Excelsior Mouscron
3 - 2
Antwerp
ANT
65%
20%
16%
79 71 8 +1
10 Mar. 2001
CHA
Charleroi
1 - 3
Excelsior Mouscron
EXC
31%
25%
44%
79 67 12 0
03 Mar. 2001
EXC
Excelsior Mouscron
0 - 0
KSK Beveren
KSK
76%
16%
8%
79 64 15 0
16 Feb. 2001
KVC
KVC Westerlo
1 - 0
Excelsior Mouscron
EXC
45%
24%
32%
80 76 4 -1

Matches

Lierse SK
Lierse SK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 2001
LIE
Lierse SK
2 - 0
KAA Gent
GEN
45%
24%
31%
76 78 2 0
17 Mar. 2001
GNK
Genk
2 - 0
Lierse SK
LIE
51%
23%
26%
77 76 1 -1
11 Mar. 2001
HAR
Harelbeke
1 - 0
Lierse SK
LIE
32%
25%
43%
77 64 13 0
03 Mar. 2001
LIE
Lierse SK
0 - 0
Anderlecht
AND
29%
25%
46%
77 88 11 0
17 Feb. 2001
ANT
Antwerp
0 - 0
Lierse SK
LIE
37%
26%
37%
78 71 7 -1