Excelsior Mouscron vs Harelbeke analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior Mouscron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
KVC
2 - 1
EXC
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1998 |
EXC
0 - 1
BRU
26%
23%
51%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1998 |
STR
1 - 0
EXC
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
EXC
2 - 1
LOM
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1998 |
EEA
1 - 3
EXC
48%
24%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Harelbeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1998 |
HAR
2 - 0
SDL
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
GNK
1 - 0
HAR
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
HAR
0 - 2
LIE
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
MOL
0 - 1
HAR
28%
28%
44%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1998 |
ANT
0 - 2
HAR
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |