Excelsior .31 vs Urk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
35.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
BUI
0 - 3
EXC
38%
23%
39%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
EXC
3 - 0
AZS
44%
22%
34%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
WHC
3 - 5
EXC
31%
22%
47%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 1
SVZ
45%
21%
34%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 1
EXC
77%
13%
10%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Urk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
URK
4 - 1
BER
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
DUN
0 - 1
URK
55%
22%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
URK
3 - 2
DET
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
DOV
2 - 2
URK
55%
24%
21%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
URK
1 - 0
BUI
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |