Excelsior .31 vs RKAV Volendam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
44.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
18º
16º
33
4º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 54 |
6º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
76% | |
|
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
15º
|
76% | |
|
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
|
18º
|
27 | 27 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 24% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 76% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HAR
2 - 0
EXC
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 3
ADO
7%
13%
80%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 2
ACV
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DOV
2 - 1
EXC
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 3
STE
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
RKAV Volendam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VOL
1 - 0
GVV
36%
23%
41%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
VOL
2 - 4
QUI
51%
22%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 1
VOL
42%
22%
35%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VOL
1 - 2
RIJ
50%
22%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
VOL
2 - 1
HAR
56%
21%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |