Excelsior .31 vs Montfoort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
IJS
5 - 1
EXC
69%
18%
13%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 1
SVZ
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
RIJ
1 - 0
EXC
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 2
NOO
42%
26%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LIS
0 - 1
EXC
60%
21%
18%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Montfoort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MON
1 - 2
GVV
17%
20%
62%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
KAT
6 - 1
MON
74%
17%
10%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MON
0 - 2
CAP
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GEN
3 - 4
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MON
4 - 1
HHC
21%
22%
57%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +4 |