Excelsior .31 vs Groene Ster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
STE
1 - 3
EXC
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
EXC
3 - 1
STA
34%
23%
43%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
DVS
0 - 1
EXC
68%
19%
14%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
EXC
1 - 1
LIS
45%
24%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
EXC
3 - 0
SUS
80%
13%
8%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Groene Ster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
OOS
2 - 3
GRO
63%
21%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
GRO
1 - 1
QUI
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
GRO
3 - 0
GEM
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
DEM
3 - 1
GRO
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
GRO
1 - 0
JOS
56%
23%
22%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |