Excelsior .31 vs DOS Kampen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
URK
2 - 0
EXC
29%
25%
47%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 2
WHC
65%
20%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
BEQ
0 - 3
EXC
53%
23%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 1
GEN
53%
23%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
HAR
0 - 0
EXC
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
DOS Kampen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
DOS
1 - 1
BER
33%
24%
43%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
ORA
0 - 0
DOS
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
DOS
0 - 4
HHC
20%
22%
59%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
ONS
3 - 0
DOS
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
ACV
4 - 0
DOS
75%
16%
10%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |