Excelsior .31 vs ACV Assen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
GEN
1 - 0
EXC
37%
26%
38%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 0
HHC
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BER
0 - 1
EXC
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
EXC
5 - 4
WHC
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
EXC
4 - 1
APE
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
ACV Assen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ACV
3 - 1
APE
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
PKC
0 - 3
ACV
35%
24%
41%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
HAR
3 - 1
ACV
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
ACV
2 - 0
STA
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
FLE
3 - 1
ACV
40%
25%
36%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |