EVV vs Gemert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
26.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EVV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
MEE
1 - 3
EVV
46%
25%
29%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
LON
1 - 1
EVV
17%
23%
60%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
EVV
2 - 0
DES
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SCH
1 - 0
EVV
36%
27%
37%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
DIJ
0 - 1
EVV
44%
25%
32%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
GEM
5 - 0
DES
62%
21%
18%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
GEM
2 - 0
OJC
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
GEM
1 - 1
JVC
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
LON
0 - 1
GEM
15%
21%
64%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
MEE
0 - 5
GEM
35%
26%
40%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +2 |